Australia, with 9 points, has already qualified to play in the semi-finals, which is infacat the first team to achieve this milestone. They have 2 more games against South Africa and England. Win predictor indicates two more wins, hence, Australia will remain at the top of the table with 13 points.
South Africa is tipped to qualify with 8 points in the bank. Just 2 more hurdles, against Pakistan in rain affected Colombo, and Australia in India.
For the Proteas, a no result or a win against Pakistan will see them through which they must achieve because Australia will be a challenge for the Proteas.
England, with 7 points have a challenge today against India. Win predictor favours India, and the next game against Australia will be a challenge for England. Hence, they are expected to get to 9 points because they play New Zealand and look favourites to win that game.
India has a challenge with 4 points in the bag. A slip between the cup and lip against their 3 remaining games will shut them out of a semi-final spot. Honestly, they are expected to end with 10 points and qualify beating Bangladesh , New Zealand, and England. Home conditions, and New Zealand and England will not pose a major threat to India because both England and New Zealand are not at their best. England was saved by the bell against Bangladesh and Pakistan, but of course, it was comprehensive against South Africa and Sri Lanka.
New Zealand, can they make it ? Looks unlikely based on their recent performances. They beat Bangladesh, undone by the Australians , outplayed by the Proteas, and 2 no results, and guilty of leaking 257 runs to Sri Lanka. New Zealand looked more focused against Pakistan, took 5 wickets, and the catching was exceptional. However, the challenge ahead with India and England is very tricky to get into the top 4.
Sadly, Bangladesh, ls
similar to New Zealand, it has been a team that faced umpires wrath against England and missed catches against South Africa, but their comprehensive win against Pakistan has given them 2 legitimate points. They were outplayed by New Zealand and thumped by Australia. However, we envisage them to get the better of Sri Lanka and get to 4 points. No doubt they will struggle against India in their last league game.
Sri Lanka and Pakistan with 2 points each, that too, not by achievement but by rules pertaining to no result games , have almost a zero chance to get among the top 4.
Sri Lanka can get up to a maximum of 6 points, Pakistan as well, but India and New Zealand have better chances when taking the run rate into consideration.
What could be the lottery for Sri Lanka and Pakistan.
Win the two remaining games, and hope India to lose all three of their remaining games, and hope New Zealand to beat India and lose to England. If this unlikely equation takes place , Sri Lanka, Pakistan , and New Zealand will have 6 points each, and India will remain with 4 points, Bangladesh with 4 points. But this is a lottery period.
